Description

This analysis provides a forecast of INJ prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-08-03 9.513989 10.876515 12.315468 13.943410 15.728947 17.622769 19.778253
2025-08-10 7.170942 8.988019 11.036172 13.495791 16.348711 19.533229 23.335478
2025-08-17 5.567304 7.616859 10.071472 13.181125 16.966854 21.377376 26.852720
2025-08-24 4.454351 6.625457 9.377128 13.035368 17.681415 23.294912 30.492885
2025-08-31 3.612377 5.827533 8.790403 12.908378 18.340308 25.115638 34.047696
2025-09-07 3.159093 5.472800 8.714380 13.390338 19.752151 27.892076 38.859804
2025-09-14 2.661282 4.967518 8.356277 13.429737 20.544655 29.873899 42.706675
2025-09-21 2.128598 4.315682 7.699968 12.969726 20.594883 30.844840 45.238752
2025-09-28 1.697069 3.747302 7.089943 12.499477 20.565635 31.665671 47.556160
2025-10-05 1.568100 3.675996 7.238356 13.154744 22.153235 34.726560 52.950273
2025-10-12 1.502771 3.707985 7.549498 14.067978 24.144248 38.398466 59.264883
2025-10-19 1.409628 3.670685 7.735282 14.785128 25.862408 41.727265 65.181711
2025-10-26 1.224737 3.427744 7.555341 14.920063 26.735670 43.923354 69.649038
2025-11-02 1.001900 3.061282 7.114769 14.589560 26.871082 45.053575 72.647064
2025-11-09 0.823623 2.752232 6.739373 14.331070 27.091852 46.299772 75.828113
2025-11-16 0.689096 2.513070 6.464651 14.216377 27.520639 47.849457 79.464951
2025-11-23 0.575225 2.296282 6.205353 14.102639 27.933961 49.374999 83.090134
2025-11-30 0.529960 2.253638 6.297429 14.629953 29.420829 52.567599 89.228031
2025-12-07 0.453703 2.102347 6.140329 14.678692 30.100175 54.528567 93.575479
2025-12-14 0.354248 1.847054 5.719919 14.190060 29.833278 54.998475 95.691692
2025-12-21 0.272285 1.614358 5.313574 13.688434 29.506888 55.347990 97.614482
2025-12-28 0.261073 1.632096 5.504263 14.391012 31.323828 59.150113 104.863959
2026-01-04 0.262655 1.699782 5.822899 15.368434 33.657956 63.827027 113.527377